Podcast: When Data Tells Us To Lock Someone Up - FiveThirtyEight

They are usually by what the objectives associated with criminal justice reforms must be. When an assessment predicts that somebody that offers dedicated one crime is more inclined for you to commit another, organic beef jail them for longer. However does this suggest we may start locking individuals up regarding crimes they will haven't but committed?

On this week's episode in our podcast What's The Actual Point, we have a examine your intersection of information and criminal justice together with Ben Casselman regarding FiveThirtyEight and also Dana Goldstein of the Marshall Project. Together with FiveThirtyEight's Anna Maria Barry-Jester, they just lately collaborated by using an in-depth look at the employment involving risk assessment.

Plus, this week's Significant Digit: Spam makes up about 49.7 percent of all emails sent -- which http://greatbigpodcast.com is truly any 10-year low.

Video: Inside the actual risk assessment form

If you're the fan associated with What's The Actual Point, subscribe in iTunes, and also please depart the rating/review -- that assists spread the term to other listeners. These types of tools, referred in order to as risk assessments, might help determine regardless involving whether a person needs social services or ought to find parole, as well as the equipment are now being used, amongst various other things, inside sentencing decisions. some supporters discover decreasing incarceration since the main goal; other people want to focus on decreasing recidivism; still other people need to get rid of racial disparities. However when they enter throughout the real world, there are typically trade-offs.

Stream or download your complete episode above, and find a new video excerpt -- where we review certainly one of the particular danger assessment scoring sheets -- below.

What's The Particular Point's songs was composed by Hrishikesh Hirway, host in the "Song Exploder" podcast.

Excerpt coming from Ben Casselman, Dana Goldstein as well as Anna Maria Barry-Jester's article. Jennifer Skeem, a School regarding California, Berkeley, psychologist that has written extensively upon risk assessment, stated there merely isn't sufficient information open to say using certainty if it minimizes racial disparities within the justice system. Danger assessments have got drawn widespread support partly because, so long while they remain inside the whole globe of the actual theoretical, they're in a new position to accomplish those goals.

Determining other impacts associated with danger assessment will be even harder. Study the full piece here.

How do we measure a danger assessment's effect?

Can we measure your likelihood which someone who features committed the crime will do therefore again? Statistical tools becoming utilized in various elements of the actual criminal justice system tend to be striving to accomplish just that. However she mentioned better information alone won't be adequate to eliminate the questions the tools raise.

The core questions about risk assessment aren't about data. Get one thing for you to say about this episode, or even possess a concept for a long term show? Obtain in touch by simply email, upon Twitter, or in the comments.


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"We talk a great deal concerning the statistics over these tools, but following your day, these nevertheless end up getting policy questions. Along With be sure to check out our sports display Hot Takedown as well. Actually an ideal statistical device may say I use a 50 % possibility of committing a crime. Whether As Well As Not you imagine that's a high risk or maybe a low danger -- this is actually a policy decision." -- Ben Casselman

"I'm certainly not convinced that whenever we do possess the evidence, that it's going to shut along the debate" simply because there will probably still be more fundamental questions, she said.


Shoreline comedy cruise debuts Friday - Chicago Tribune

What do you get when you cross stand-up comedy and an architecture cruise? Heck if we know, but Shoreline Sightseeing and Zanies are going to find out this weekend when they debut the Friday Evening Comedy Cruises. Standup comics and Zanies regulars Pat McGann and Bill Bunker will each do 45-minute sets aboard a Shoreline boat, departing from Navy http://scottygotanofficejob.com Pier and cruising the Chicago river for a 90-minute excursion.

If a little open-air comedy sounds nice, or if you've ever thought those overly earnest architecture cruises are just begging for a little parody, that's more or less the idea. Although, we should point out, this idea is brand-new and untested.

"They're going to be playing off their environment, it's going to be pretty improvisational," says Zanies executive vice president Bert Haas. McGann and Bunker will be riffing on both the skyline and the crowd. "You've never seen quicker people on their feet."

Shoreline, which has hosted jazz cruises, first approached Zanies about water-born stand-up comedy. A little actual architectural information may even get thrown in, Haas says, and both comics will do more or less clean sets, so folks on the riverwalk are safe too. There will be another Comedy Cruise Sept. 18 headlined by Dobie Maxwell, and if the formula works, maybe more this summer or the next.

Stop this boat if you've heard this ...

8 p.m. Friday; boarding begins 15 minutes before departure from the Shoreline dock at Navy Pier; tickets are $39 per person (21+) and include drink ticket; 312-222-9328 or shorelinesightseeing.com

Copyright © 2015, Chicago Tribune

This Week on Blu-ray and DVD: August 4, 2015 - ComingSoon.net

Check out the particular gallery viewer down below for a take a glance at the actual main new releases, catalogue titles and television collections hitting shelves upon Tuesday, August 4, 2015.

On the tiny screen front, this week brings us the current telefilm take upon J.K. Dante and Yelchin recently dropped by our studio for an episode of Many Craved. The idea wasn't sometime ago these people upgraded Dassin's Rififi, too, therefore perhaps reissues regarding Brute Force, the Naked Town as well as Thieves' Highway will always be together within thanks time. The Actual film will be hitting wide release about DVD-only, but can be obtained on Blu-ray as being a Best to Buy exclusive.

Other current big screen releases include: Adult Beginners, the actual comedy drama starring Nick Kroll, Rose Byrne as well as Bobby Cannavale; Barely Lethal, Kyle Newman's teenage assassin motion http://shatnerdvdclub.com comedy starring Hailee Steinfeld, Jessica Alba and also Sophie Turner; Child 44, Safe House helmer Daniel Espinosa's crime thriller starring Tom Hardy, Gary Oldman and also Noomi Rapace; Every Secret Thing, the Amy Berg-helmed mystery starring Diane Lane, Elizabeth Banks along with Dakota Fanning; A little Chaos, a time period romantic drama directed by Alan Rickman along with starring Kate Winslet; Madam Bovary, Sophie Barthes' just take about the Gustave Flaubert novel, headlined through Mia Wasikowska; as well as Correct Story, director Rupert Goold's based-on-fact mystery, starring James Franco along with Jonah Hill.

The Divergent Series: Insurgent arrives upon Blu-ray along with DVD this Tuesday, August 4, 2015.

You can easily check out all of the deal with art inside the gallery viewer below alongside a list of each and every as well as every release's particular features (where applicable):

The Criterion Collection this week upgrades Jules Dassin's 1950 noir classic Night as well as the City to Blu-ray. There's in addition the actual fully-restored "Ultimate" second season of legendary sitcom i Love Lucy and, each arriving about DVD only, the initial seasons regarding How for you to Obtain Away with Murder along with Your Affair.

Also arriving this week can be Joe Dante's Burying the actual Ex, starring Anton Yelchin, Ashley Green along with Alexandra Daddario. Shailene Woodley's youthful adult sci-fi action franchise continues with the your house release of The Particular Divergent Series: Insurgent, arriving about Blu-ray, DVD along with Blu-ray 3D with plenty regarding time regarding audiences to catch up ahead involving the third giant screen chapter, Allegiant - Component 1 arrives March 18.

Welcome to ComingSoon.net's appear at all the really best entertainment hitting this week about Blu-ray and DVD. Rowling's The Sporadic Vacancy as well because the third seasons of each Orphan Black as well as Strike Back


Why More Millennials Are Leasing Luxury Cars - TIME

So the tiny inexpensive auto they could afford to purchase is possibly not the best vehicle a few a lengthy time along the road (pun intended) whenever they find married as well as have kids.

Leasing gives him the pliability of the pre-determined budgetary expense as well as takes away the chance of resale value, he notes. "If I enter into an accident, the vehicle will have significant diminished value when re-sold."

A good friend introduced Moguet towards the concept of leasing with almost all the motto: Yes, I will always have an automobile payment, however I will will have a fresh car.

Millennials have a track record of performing the math and never overspending. technology gets outdated rapidly these days, so which it does not sound right to carry on to cars with regard to greater than any decade even if, within theory, it can always be a much better monetary move, Murphy notes.

Read next: New Mercedes-Benz Crossover Doesn't Very Bridge your Gap

Millennials just like Murphy and Alkatib could possess a history of certainly not getting as materialistic as previous generations, but when it will come from what they drive, that they just similar to a nice group of wheels - even if it indicates sacrificing your long-term economic advantages of car ownership.

"I firmly believe within the adage: 'Rent depreciating assets, acquire appreciating ones,' " Murphy says.

The price to buy the same car: $38,500 or about $627 for each month.

But millennials are at a period within their lives when their requirements tend to be constantly changing. Which is the explanation why Nicholai Moguet, 31, who is definitely an details technology specialist in Irvine, California, just leased his 2nd car.

"I acquire more car at any lower price funds as well as restrict my coverage for the used car market," says Alkatib.

A recent study by Edmunds.com located the share associated with millennials (ages 18-34) who are leasing cars expires 46% over the last five-years compared to become able to 41% regarding most automobile shoppers.

Most of the Edmunds.com survey respondents mentioned these people wouldn't pay greater than regarding $3,000 for a manufacturer new car purchase, along with that will they were ready to pay only about $300 for each month.

482137615 Spaces Images--Getty Images

Connor Murphy, 23, owns the clean produce company and will be also about to be able to lease any 2015 Mercedes C-Class. However when that they are ready to lease? they can easily drive away having a vehicle priced as high as $35,000. Not Really a http://thechumslick.com negative trade up for the same money outlay and also budget.. the typical car about the highway today is just about all about 11 many years old. the typical buyer who pays off a vehicle loan within 5 years comes out ahead financially.

Twenty-five-year-old Sharif Alkatib, an engineer within Los Angeles, California, also prefers leasing over acquiring for that lower payments.

Leasing accounted for almost 29% of new automobile purchases simply by millennials in 2015 so far, according towards the survey.

Millennials discover additional good factors to lease. Millennials need to stay as significantly as date. He is having to pay just $381 any month without any funds down.

That spending budget are specific to get a fresh vehicle buyer the vehicle worth $20,000, in accordance with Edmunds.com calculations. they just want more for their cash in the brief term. Murphy, for example, really does not want to invest inside a depreciating asset. As Well As leasing offers the smartest approach to remain before the curb.

"It definitely permitted me to obtain a better auto when compared with I would have if I decided to buy, which usually had been crucial if i hear a person ask me simply because I like driving to be something as enjoyable along with looked forward to as possible, Moguet explains.

This pondering can always be a radical change in the standard advice which owning any car, as well as maintaining it until the particular bitter end, is definitely the particular much better economic move. Your price is a factor.

"In nearly all cases, leasing opens the doorway to the features which they couldn't normally afford," says Jessica Caldwell, Edmunds.com director of business analysis.

The various other big game changer: Technology


Wyoming Area High School's Tennis Courts Not Safe For Play - wnep.com

WEST PITTSTON -- The tennis courts at the Wyoming Area School District have seen better days. They're in such bad condition, that the district says they're too dangerous to play on. Now, school officials are scrambling to come up with a plan.

Becoming co-captains for Wyoming Area High School's girls tennis team has been a dream for Lauren Perry and Anna Thomas.  But instead of practicing on their school's own tennis courts, they're practicing at Pittston Area's Martin L. Mattei Intermediate School in Hughestown.

"It's great that Pittston is letting us use their courts, very, very nice and generous, but it would be nice to have a home advantage," Thomas said.

The Wyoming Area School District's architect deemed their home courts too dangerous to play on. The concrete courts on Boston Avenue in West Pittston are plagued with huge cracks, some starting at one court and ripping right through another.

"I mean, we want to see the team do good, but it's also kind of sentimental because, you know, we've been playing here for http://texastennisopen.com like three or four years, so we want to be able to play our home matches on our home courts," Perry said.

And it's not just the surface of the courts that's causing a concern for some of the athletes. The light posts may also be a danger. Some have actually fallen off at random.

"It's just not worth us putting any kids in jeopardy and the liability of the school district," said Joe Pizano, the Wyoming Area athletic director.

Wyoming Area school officials say they're working on a long-term solution to find a permanent home for the tennis team. But some athletes are hoping for the best as they prepare to play their home matches away from home.

"I would like to see the courts to be at least fixed temporarily," Thomas said.

"I just hope that people understand that this is like a community place, too. It's not just for Wyoming Area, so if the courts are closed, everybody's affected by it," Perry added.

School officials plan to meet with the Wyoming Area School board Wednesday to decide what should be done with the tennis courts.

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